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Retracement

Risk & money

A retracement is a temporary move in price that goes against the direction of the larger trend, before that trend continues. Picture a stock climbing steadily from $50 to $60 over a few weeks — if it then drifts back down to $57 before resuming its climb toward $65, that dip to $57 is the retracement.

The key word is temporary. A retracement is a pause or partial reversal within a bigger move, not a change in the overall direction. Traders use the term to distinguish this kind of short-term pullback from an actual trend reversal, where the price genuinely turns and heads the other way for good. The problem is that in the moment, the two look identical — nobody can say with certainty "this is just a retracement" until the price has already resumed its original direction and proven it.

Many traders try to anticipate how far a retracement might go using tools like Fibonacci retracement levels, which mark specific percentages (such as 38%, 50%, or 62%) of the prior move as potential zones where the pullback might stall and reverse back in the trend's favor. These levels are watched widely enough that they can become somewhat self-fulfilling, but they are not a guarantee — price can blow through them and keep going, at which point what looked like a retracement turns out to have been the start of a reversal instead.

The nuance that trips people up is treating "retracement" as something you can identify with confidence while it's happening. In real time, a 10% pullback in an uptrend is just a pullback — it only earns the label "retracement" retroactively, once the uptrend has clearly resumed. Trading as if a drop is "just a retracement" before that's confirmed is a common way to hold a losing position too long.

Why it matters on the desk

Day traders use retracements to look for entries in the direction of an established intraday trend, buying dips or selling rallies — but mistaking the start of a real reversal for a mere retracement is a frequent source of losses.

An example

A stock rallies from $40 to $50 in the morning session. Around midday it slides back to $46 — a 40% retracement of that move — before buyers step back in and push it to $53 by the close. The pullback to $46 was the retracement; had the stock instead kept falling through $40, traders would call that a reversal, not a retracement.

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